Weekend Preview 10/03/17


Italian Serie A
Internazionale vs. Atalanta (Sunday 2pm)
Sixth host fifth in our highlighted game of the week, with Serie A again throwing up a number of interesting contests over the next few days. Inter have been exceptional since hiring Pioli, while there is now no doubt that Atalanta are the surprise package of 2016/17. Thankfully both teams are at relative full strength to take very little away from the encounter (the visitors are missing centre-back Masiello, but he is replaced well by Zukanovic), which has significant bearing on the race for the European places.

After Napoli’s loss in Roma these two sides still have eyes on a Champions League spot come May and while we fully acknowledge what Atalanta have done, Inter seem best placed to profit to us due to their superior firepower. In terms of this particular game, though, the market looks to be incredibly efficient. The biggest argument we can make is that Inter look a little on the heavy side of being favourites at -0.75, because 2.5 goals is fair enough and both have a lot going for them in terms of team news, motivation, recent form and recent metrics. We’ll push the line a little bit, as unders looks the best trade.

Suggestion: Under 2.75 @ 1.81 

Italian Serie A
Juventus vs. Milan (Friday 7.45pm)
BT Sport 3
Next up in Italy is a historic contest from Serie A, with Milan travelling to Turin to face Juventus. This may not be the Milan of old but the fixture still carries a lot of weight, especially when the visitors have won four of their last five in the league and Juventus are fresh off a slip against Udinese and with a Champions League game on the horizon. The hosts do have the edge on team news with only Chiellini and Cuadrado missing, while Milan are without Bonaventura, Abate, Montolivo and probably Locatelli too.

Juventus have won 30 Serie A home games in a row and with -1 being available at pretty decent odds we’ll bank on taking at least a push by suggesting them off this mark again, which is fast becoming a hallmark pick in the Weekend Preview! The Udinese result should have acted as a wake up call to Allegri’s men, especially with Roma winning, while we’re not convinced enough by Milan yet to believe they can break that sort of streak.

Suggestion: Juventus -1 @ 1.75

Italian Serie A
Lazio vs. Torino (Monday 7.45pm)
BT Sport 3
Rounding off our hat trick of Serie A highlights is Lazio against Torino, which sees yet another contender for a top three place in action. What makes this one so interesting is that it pits two teams who are much better going forward than they are at the back, which could make for a very good watch. Lazio have a small doubt over the experienced Biglia but have Marchetti back between the posts, while Torino have Castan and Benassi back in the squad, leaving just Obi on the sidelines.

With both teams looking to be in such good shape and with no real reason for either to play too defensively, we’ll definitely bank on their being at least three goals in this one. Torino have Serie A’s top scorer in their ranks and Lazio always create plenty of chances, so we’re hoping their finishing improves from what we’ve seen lately!

Suggestion: Over 2.75 @ 1.80

German Bundesliga 1
Hertha BSC vs. Borussia Dortmund (Saturday 2.30pm)
We have approached Dortmund games with trepidation all season, as they are one of those teams who have performed quite poorly in the main but are always capable of blowing teams away due to their significant power in attack. This holds particular true in the current moment, as they are coming into this off the back of a 4-0 demolition of Benfica in the Champions League on Wednesday night and have scored at least three times in each of their last three Bundesliga games. Gotze hasn’t been missed much and while Reus is out here, Aubameyang, Dembele and Schurrle are all still available, but rotation is expected. Hertha are solid and are almost full strength, so we’ll take a risk in backing them as underdogs.

Suggestion: Hertha +1 @ 1.71 

Scottish Premiership
Celtic vs. Rangers (Sunday 12pm)
Sky Sports 1
Celtic have won the previous three Old Firm games this season and will be determined to make it four, especially with Rangers heading to Parkhead without a permanent manager in place. The hosts are expected to have almost everyone available, while the visitors are still without Garner due to suspension. Victory here moves Rodgers’ men within a point of securing their sixth consecutive title and while the consensus does seem that they will win and win handsomely, it’s not one that we are against. It should be closer than it was in September, but a two-goal Celtic win is likely.

Suggestion: Celtic -1.25 @ 1.83 and Over 2.75 @ 1.84

Ones to Watch

Spanish Primera Division
Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Club (Sunday 11am)
Sky Sports 3
This Basque derby looks like being the biggest game left on Athletic’s calendar this season, so they should be fully motivated. Star striker Aduriz is expected back and Marcos should also pass fit for the visitors, giving them a boost at both ends, while Sociedad are only without Willian Jose.

Suggestion: Over 2.25 @ 1.88

French Ligue 1
Monaco vs. Bordeaux (Saturday 3.45pm)
Monaco keep on doing it, winning 4-0 at home to Nantes last time out to maintain their supreme goal average. Bordeaux are much different opposition and there is a huge date with Manchester City on the horizon for Jardim’s men, but they are full strength with Falcao back from injury.

Suggestion: Monaco -1 @ 1.81 and Over 2.75 @ 1.81

Dutch Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs. AZ (Sunday 1.30pm)
Sky Sports 3
Sparta threw a huge spanner in the works for Feyenoord with a shock 1-0 win that saw Ajax draw one point closer, so they have to react here in what looks like a tricky home game. The hosts aren’t helped by having five significant doubts, which makes -1.25 look long.

Suggestion: AZ +1.25 @ 1.95

Dutch Eredivisie
Ajax vs. Twente (Sunday 3.45pm)
Sky Sports 3
Ajax failed to profit fully from Feyenoord’s slip last weekend, only managing a 1-1 draw at Groningen to move within four points of their title rivals. Like Feyenoord they also have a tricky home game now, with Twente missing Assaidi and Andersen but looking harshly done by in the market.

Suggestion: Twente +1.75 @ 1.87

United States MLS
Montreal Impact vs. Seattle Sounders (Monday 12am)
Sky Sports 4
Contenders in the East host contenders in the West, with the big surprise being that both lost on opening weekend. This could make them both more cautious here and they look evenly matched, with Sounders’ edge on the team news and psychology meaning we like them on a positive handicap.

Suggestion: Seattle Sounders +0.25 @ 1.83 

*Odds accurate at time of writing

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