English Premier League
Manchester City vs. Liverpool (Saturday 12:30pm)
This game started quite cautiously with both sides assessing each other but Manchester City were just getting on top when Aguero put them ahead. Salah had Liverpool’s best chance shortly after this and scoring would have likely resulted in a different game.
However, the key turning point was Mane’s red card on 37 minutes. Once down to ten men the chances of Liverpool pulling the handicap back were slim and Manchester City took full advantage with some clinical finishing to record a big victory.
Suggestion: Liverpool +0.5 @ 2.05
Actual Outcome: 5-0 (-0.50)
Fair Outcome: 3-0 (-0.50)
Spanish Primera Liga
Barcelona vs. Espanyol (Saturday 7:45pm)
Barcelona were expected to want to finish this game relatively quickly and they did thanks to Lionel Messi’s hat trick, coming inside 67 minutes.
However, Overs backers had to wait until 87 minutes before Barcelona finally made their true dominance count with 2 late goals. Espanyol contributed little going forward so beating the line was always going to be reliant on the home side, but they created enough quality chances to warrant a big victory.
Suggestion: Over 3.5 @ 1.94
Actual Outcome: 5-0 (-2.25)
Fair Outcome: 5-0 (-2.25)
Italy Serie A
Lazio vs. Milan (Sunday 3:00pm)
A game delayed by the heavy rain in Rome, but Lazio made a mockery of the -0.25 handicap to ruthlessly dispatch a Milan side who had started the season very well.
In an 11 minute spell either side of half time Lazio blew their visitors away with Immobile grabbing a hat trick. Milan’s previously tight defence could not cope with the attacks of Lazio and though they started slightly better were a well beaten side by the end. Milan were allowed to dominate possession after the 4th goal and scored a consolation but a comeback was never likely.
Suggestion: Milan +0.25 @ 1.854
Actual Outcome: 4-1 (-0.25)
Fair Outcome: 4-1 (-0.25)
Total Actual Outcome: -1
Total Fair Outcome: -1