English Premier League
Chelsea vs. Arsenal (Sunday 1:30pm)
With such a poor record away to last seasons top 6 over the past couple of years Arsenal needed to turn in a big performance. They managed it and actually had the better of the game for spells. Welbeck and Lacazette missed first half chances and Ramsey hit the post but the game lacked any clear cut openings in the 2nd period. Chelsea looked strangely subdued and lacking ideas on how to break Arsenal down and never looked close to getting the full win on the Asian Handicap.
Suggestion: Chelsea -0.75 @ 2.060
Actual Outcome: 0-0 (-0.75)
Fair Outcome: 0-1 (-0.75)
PSV vs. Feyenoord (Sunday 3:45pm)
Feyenoord got off to the worst possible start in this one, conceding after just 2 minutes as Pereiro opened the scoring. A tight match followed but PSV had chances in the 1st half to extend their lead while Feyenoord were the ones pushing for an equaliser in the 2nd half with PSV happy to play on the break. With Jorgensen injured the away side struggled to convert some reasonable chances and the red card just before the break for Berghuis made the 2nd half much more comfortable for the hosts and saw this Suggestion come in.
Suggestion: PSV -0.50 @ 2.081
Actual Outcome: 1-0 (-0.50)
Fair Outcome: 2-1 (-0.50)
France Ligue 1
PSG vs. Lyon (Sunday 8:00pm)
PSG were huge favourites in this game, showing their utter dominance of the French League at the minute to so so heavily backed against a traditional title rival that the Asian Handicap line had actually moved to -2.5 before the game. As it was PSG struggled and Lyon had some good chances, including hitting the bar. It took 2 own goals in the last 15 minutes for PSG to eventually win the game and record a Half Loss for our suggestion but a Penalty miss by Cavani – after an argument about who would take it with Neymar – between these goals shows the fine margins between winning and losing.
Suggestion: PSG -2.25 @ 1.892
Actual Outcome: 2-0 (-2.25)
Fair Outcome: 2-1 (-2.25)
Ones to Watch
RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Monchengladbach (Saturday 5:30pm)
RB Leipzig were twice ahead in this game but couldn’t hang on or push for another goal which would have seen a full win on the Asian Handicap. In truth, the sides were evenly matched and there weren’t many clear chances, with good finishing providing 4 goals rather than a lot of quality opportunities. Disappointingly the Monchengladbach goals came from a needless penalty and a fine long range strike but it’s hard to say they didn’t deserve a share of the points.
Suggestion: RB Leipzig -0.75 @ 1.92
Actual Outcome: 2-2 (-0.75)
Fair Outcome: 1-1 (-0.75)
Spain Primera Liga
Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid (Sunday 7:45pm)
The problems for both sides were noted before the game, with Sociedad without both first choice centre backs and Real Madrid missing Ronaldo and Benzema amongst a few others, so Mayoral got a very rare start. It mattered little as he scored the first and assisted the 2nd and with in form Sociedad fully playing their part in the 1st half it was 1-2 at the break. Bale sealed the victory for Real Madrid just after the hour and ensured the Overs bet came in, which was a fair score.
Suggestion: Over 3.25 goals @ 1.98
Actual Outcome: 1-3 (+0.75)
Fair Outcome: 1-3 (+0.75)
Barnsley vs. Aston Villa (Saturday 5:30pm)
Aston Villa tore up their recent form with a convincing victory away to Barnsley. Despite only 4 wins in 26 previous Championship games Villa were in full control from the moment a mistake by Davies allowed Adomah to poke them ahead. Barnsley had been in the game up to this point but failed to really test Johnstone in goal and a needless challenge for a penalty just before the break gave Villa a comfortable cushion with the 2nd goal. Despite trying to get a reaction a 3rd goal on 55 minutes by Davis killed the game and gave the away side a richly deserved victory.
Suggestion: Barnsley +0.5 @ 1.84
Actual Outcome: 0-3 (+0.50)
Fair Outcome: 0-3 (+0.50)
Total Actual Outcome: -1.5
Total Fair Outcome: -2
*Odds accurate at time of writing