Top 3 Trading Moves of the Weekend 16/10/17


England Premier League
Burnley vs West Ham United (Saturday 3:00pm)

With the original line for this game set at DNB – this despite Burnley’s strong start to the season and West Ham’s own poor form – a tight game was envisaged. So this turned out to be, with West Ham taking the lead on 19 minutes via Michail Antonio after a poor mistake at the back. However, the real turning point was the deserved red card to Andy Caroll on 27 minutes after 2 quick bookings. Even though West Ham were ahead at this point, with over an hour to play the line swung dramatically in Burnley’s favour. It did then take Burnley until 85 minutes before Chris Wood headed home the equaliser, with relatively few high quality chances created the market had corrected by this time and would have favoured West Ham holding out – if Carroll had not been sent off then West Ham would have fancied themselves to hold on for the win.

Actual Outcome: 1-1 (DNB)
Fair Outcome: 1-1 (DNB)

England Championship
Barnsley vs Middlesbrough (Saturday 3:00pm)
With Middlesbrough taking part in relatively low scoring games this season and Barnsley lacking in firepower an appropriate Goals line of 2.5 was set for this game. This was blown out of the water in the first 9 minutes as Barnsley took the lead via an Ashley Fletcher own goal, Braithwaite equalised for Middlesbrough and McGeehan then restored Barnsley’s lead all before the 10 minute mark, hurting any Unders traders very early on. Middlesbrough went on to get a 2nd equaliser on the hour to end the game in a fair draw.

Actual Outcome: 2-2 (2.5 Goals Line)
Fair Outcome: 2-2 (2.5 Goals Line)

Dutch Eredivisie
VVV vs PSV (Sunday 1:30pm)

While several of the smaller clubs in the Eredivisie have started well – including newly promoted VVV – the traditionally bigger sides are starting to exert their power. PSV were -1 favourites before this match, slightly lower than what they would likely have been in the past couple of years and indicative of their recent struggles. Early in the 2nd half Hunte scored to turn the game around and give VVV a 2-1 lead, putting the AH line in severe jeopardy. However, it’s at this point that PSV really came alive and scored three goals in 14 minutes to go 4-2 ahead and be ahead of the AH line. This was helped by the 60th minute dismissal of Promes for VVV. PSV added a 5th goal with 5 minutes to play to cap off a great 2nd half performance after looking in danger for almost 2/3 of the game.

Actual Outcome: 2-5 (+1 VVV)
Fair Outcome: 1-3 (+1 VVV)

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